'Nostradamus' of US Election makes huge prediction on result and it sparks fury
Allan Lichtman, who has correctly predicted results of nine out of 10 US presidential elections since the 1980s, has defended his method after revealing he has suffered 'hate' from online trolls
by Saffron Otter · The MirrorKamala Harris and Donald Trump have just one final push today to convince voters in the race for the White House - however, one man claims he already knows the result.
Allan Lichtman, known as the "polling Nostradamus", has correctly predicted the results of nine out of 10 presidential elections since 1984. He claims to have got them all right except for George W Bush's 2000 win.
The historian argues his prediction on who will win the 2024 presidential race is correct, despite recent polls suggesting otherwise. Mr Lichtman, who admitted that he has never experienced "so much hate" in an election cycle before over his views, has a method for forecasting the results known as 'The Keys to the White House'. He says he devised the system for 'accurately calculating' the result in 1981 alongside Russian academic Vladimir Keilis-Borok.
Lichtman believes that the Democrat will win and be named as the first female US President. "My prediction has not changed," he said in a new YouTube video. "I have frequently made my prediction correctly in defiance of the polls, it's based on 160 years of precedent."
However he did admit there is still a chance he could be wrong. "The keys are very robust," he said. "But it's always possible that something so cataclysmic and so unprecedented could change the pattern of history."
The academic assesses 13 factors, including any record of scandal, social unrest, comparative charisma and the health of the domestic economy, and applies a 'true' or 'false' for each category. "My predictions have stood the test of time, my indicators have always been right," he asserted.
"The keys are very objective and quantitative." Ahead of the US election on Tuesday, Vice-President Kamala is spending the day in Pennsylvania, whose 19 electoral votes offer the largest prize among the states expected to determine the electoral college outcome.
Meanwhile, her competitor, Donald Trump, has planned four rallies in three states, beginning in Raleigh, North Carolina, and stopping twice in Pennsylvania with events in Reading and Pittsburgh. The Republican nominee and former president ends his campaign the way he ended his first two, with a late Monday night event in Grand Rapids, Michigan.
Polls show the race is now tighter than ever between Trump and Harris. While arout 77 million Americans already have voted early, the pair are pushing to turn out many millions more supporters. Either result on election day will yield a historic outcome.
Speaking with NewsNation, Lichtman opened up on the recent abuse he has received, revealing he is worried for his family's safety. "I've been doing this for 42 years and I’m constantly getting criticism," he said. "I have never experienced anything close to the hate that has been reaped upon me this time.
"I've been getting feedback that is scurrilous, vulgar, violent, threatening, and even beyond that, the safety and security of my family has been compromised."